- SmartTrader
Our results in trading #Oil:
2020 YTD: 4 trades with +73% gross profit, including open trades.
2019 FY: 7 trades with +99.9% gross profit.
2018 FY: 19 trades with +98.8% gross profit.
2017 FY: 15 trades with +83.1% gross profit.
N.trades=44, N.pos=37, N.neg=7
Sum.pos=335%, Sum.neg=-16%, Profit.factor=20.9
Per trade: Expectancy=7.3%, Expectation=3.2
Per trade: R.avg=7.3%, R.med=7.6%, R.stdev=7.1%
Trading system: SQ=1.0, SQN=6.8 (See Van Tharp's System Quality Number)
#Oil: crude oil - The most traded commodity in the world Future-CME.

Update 3-Mar-20:
#Oil crossed the short term EMA. Open new SHORT position:
3 Mar: Open 1x SHORT at 47.6.
Update 13-Jan-20:
#Oil crossed the EMA and ended the #Uptrend. Take profit on the LONG positions:
13 Jan: Close 1x LONG at 58.92, previously opened 3 Oct at 51.37. Gross profit is +14.7%.
13 Jan: Close 1x LONG at 58.92, previously opened 4 Nov at 56.35. Gross profit is +4.6%.
13 Jan: Close 1x LONG at 58.92, previously opened 21 Nov at 56.99. Gross profit is +3.4%.
Update 21-Nov-19:
#Oil stays in the #Uptrend. Extend the LONG position further:
21 Nov: Open 1x LONG at 56.99.
Update 4-Nov-19:
#Oil continues the #Uptrend. Extend the LONG position:
4 Nov: Open 1x LONG at 56.35.
Update 3-Oct-19:
#Oil hit the 125% outside the lower Bollinger Band. Take profit on all SHORT positions and reverse to LONG:
3 Oct: Close 1x LONG at 51.37, previously opened 10 Sep at 58.63. Gross profit is +12.4%.
3 Oct: Close 2x LONG at 51.37, previously opened 16 Sep at 62.06. Gross profit is +17.2%.
3 Oct: Open 1x LONG at 51.37.
Update 16-Sep-19:
#Oil hit the 150% outside the upper Bollinger Band. Extend the SHORT position:
16 Sep: Open 2x SHORT at 62.06.
Update 10-Sep-19:
#Oil hit the 70% inside the upper part of a flat Bollinger Band. Take profit on the LONG position and switch to SHORT:
10 Sep: Close 1x LONG at 58.63, previously opened 18 June at 52.48. Gross profit is +11.7%.
10 Sep: Close 1x LONG at 58.63, previously opened 7 Aug at 51.57. Gross profit is +13.7%.
10 Sep: Open 1x SHORT at 58.63.
Update 7-Aug-19:
#Oil hit the 120% outside the lower Bollinger Band. Extend the LONG position:
7 Aug: Open 1x LONG at 51.57.
Update 18-June-19:
#Oil crossed the shorter timeframe EMA upwards. Switch to LONG:
18 Jun: Close 1x SHORT at 52.48, previously opened 17 May at 63.79. Gross profit is +17.7%.
18 Jun: Open 1x LONG at 52.48.
Update 17-May-19:
#Oil hit the 50% inside the upper Bollinger Band with little momentum. Reverse the position to SHORT:
17 May: Close 1x LONG at 63.79, previously opened 18 Mar at 58.70. Gross profit is +8.7%.
17 May: Open 1x SHORT at 63.79.
Update 18-Mar-19:
#Oil started #Uptrend. Open new LONG position:
18 Mar: Open 1x LONG at 58.70.
Update 21-Jan-19:
#Oil crossed the EMA and ended the #Downtrend. Take profit on the SHORT position:
21 Jan: Close 1x SHORT at 54.20, previously opened 31 Oct at 66.50. Gross profit is +18.5%.
Update 31-Oct-18:
#Oil in a #Downtrend and tested the EMA at short timeframe. Switch to SHORT:
31 Oct: Close 1x LONG at 66.50, previously opened 26 Oct at 66.99. Gross loss is -0.70%.
31 Oct: Open 1x SHORT at 66.50.
Update 26-Oct-18:
#Oil crossed EMA upwards on shorter time frame. Open LONG position:
26 Oct: Open 1x LONG at 66.99.
Update 12-Oct-18:
#Oil successfully tested support at the EMA. Take profit on the SHORT positions:
12 Oct: Close 1x SHORT at 70.88, previously opened 12 Sep at 70.58. Gross loss is -0.4%.
12 Oct: Close 1x SHORT at 70.88, previously opened 19 Sep at 70.74. Gross loss is -0.2%.
12 Oct: Close 1x SHORT at 70.88, previously opened 21 Sep at 71.54. Gross profit is +0.9%.
12 Oct: Close 1x SHORT at 70.88, previously opened 25 Sep at 72.42. Gross profit is +2.1%.
12 Oct: Close 1x SHORT at 70.88, previously opened 3 Oct at 76.70. Gross profit is +7.6%.
Update 3-Oct-18:
#Oil hit the 130% outside the upper Bollinger Band. Extend the SHORT position:
3 Oct: Open 1x SHORT at 76.70.
Update 25-Sep-18:
#Oil hit the 109% outside the upper Bollinger Band. Extend the SHORT position:
25 Sep: Open 1x SHORT at 72.42.
Update 21-Sep-18:
#Oil hit the 95% inside the upper Bollinger Band. Extend the SHORT position:
21 Sep: Open 1x SHORT at 71.54.
Update 19-Sep-18:
#Oil hit the 70% inside the upper Bollinger Band. Extend the SHORT position:
19 Sep: Open 1x SHORT at 70.74.
Update 12-Sep-18:
#Oil hit the 65% inside the upper Bollinger Band. Open SHORT position:
12 Sep: Open 1x SHORT at 70.58.
Update 11-Sep-18:
#Oil crossed the EMA upwards. Take profit on the SHORT position:
11 Sep: Close SHORT at 68.64, previously opened 4 Sep at 71.25. Gross profit is +3.6%.
Update 4-Sep-18:
#Oil hit the 50% inside the upper Bollinger Band. Take profit and reverse to SHORT:
4 Sep: Close LONG at 71.25, previously opened 13 Aug at 65.83. Gross profit is +8.2%.
4 Sep: Open SHORT at 71.25.
Update 13-Aug-18:
#Oil hit the 52% inside the lower Bollinger Band. Open LONG position:
13 Aug: Open LONG at 65.83.
Update 1-Aug-18:
#Oil crossed the EMA downwards ending the #Uptrend. Close the LONG position:
1 Aug: Close LONG at 68.42, previously opened 12 July at 69.70. Gross loss is -1.8%.
Update 12-July-18:
#Oil tested the EMA but #Uptrend continues. Open LONG:
12 Jul: Open LONG at 69.70.
Update 3-July-18:
#Oil above 100% of the upper Bollinger Band. Take profit and close the current LONG position:
3 Jul: Close LONG at 73.00, previously opened 4 Jun at 64.89. Gross profit is +12.5%.
Update 4-June-18:
#Oil at 50% inside the lower Bollinger Band. Open LONG position:
4 Jun: Open LONG at 64.89.
Update 25-May-18:
#Oil crossed the EMA ending the #Uptrend. Close the LONG position.
25 May: Close LONG at 67.92, previously opened 30 Apr at 67.55. Gross profit is +0.5%.
Update 30-Apr-18:
#Oil still in LONG #Uptrend and passed through 50% upper Bolling Band. Open LONG position:
30 Apr: Open LONG at 67.55.
Update 13-Apr-18:
#Oil entered into LONG #Uptrend. Close SHORT positions:
13 Apr: Close SHORT at 67.18, previously opened 26 Feb at 64.01. Gross profit is -5.0%.
13 Apr: Close SHORT at 67.18, previously opened 21 Mar at 65.53. Gross profit is -2.5%.
13 Apr: Close SHORT at 67.18, previously opened 11 Apr at 67.33. Gross profit is 0.2%.
Update 11-Apr-18:
#Oil at 120% outside the upper Bollinger Band. Extend SHORT position:
11 Apr: Open SHORT at 67.33
Update 21-Mar-18:
#Oil at 90% inside the upper Bollinger Band. Extend SHORT position:
21 Mar: Open SHORT at 65.53.
Update 26-Feb-18:
#Oil at 50% inside the upper Bollinger Band. Open SHORT position:
26 Feb: Open SHORT at 64.01
Update 14-Feb-18:
#Oil at 45% inside the lower Bollinger Band. Take profit on the SHORT position:
14 Feb: Close SHORT at 58.37, previously opened 9 Feb at 60.44. Gross profit is +3.4%.
Update 9-Feb-18:
#Oil crossed the EMA ending its #Uptrend since 15 Sep 2017. Close the LONG positions and reverse into SHORT:
9 Feb: Close LONG at 60.44, previously opened 15 Sep at 50.18. Gross profit is +20.4%.
9 Feb: Close LONG at 60.44, previously opened 6 Oct at 49.24. Gross profit is +22.7%.
9 Feb: Close LONG at 60.44, previously opened 20 Oct at 50.86. Gross profit is +18.8%.
9 Feb: Close LONG at 60.44, previously opened 7 Dec at 55.82. Gross profit is +8.3%.
9 Feb: Open SHORT at 60.44.